Race

Ten years of racing are enough to change work. AI can already do 33% of human tasks, and the share of the working-age population in employment falls to 48%. New trades appear, but in other places and for other people.

There are 76 million robots in operation, mostly in factories and warehouses. Data centers use 4,065 TWh a year, more electricity than many entire countries.

The pace of discovery is already ×3.8 that of 2026. AI-designed drugs arrive in record time, above all where there is money to pay for them.

Clean energy barely rises to 26%: the priority is compute, not the climate. Warming is around 1.6 °C.

Without shared rules, the power concentration index rises to 67/100. Tensions between blocs have already triggered a global crisis. The cumulative risk of catastrophe stands at 7.7%.

More than half of all tasks are now automatable: 60%. Only 39% of the working-age population has a job; the rest live on rents, private aid or work that never shows up in the statistics. Inequality reaches 72/100.

There are 4.7 billion robots in factories, warehouses, fields and homes. Data centers use 16,125 TWh a year.

Science moves ×5.9 compared with 2026. Many rare diseases have treatments, but access depends on where you live and on who controls the patents.

Clean energy reaches 45%, because demand grows faster than the transition. Warming reaches 2.0 °C.

The power concentration index reaches 83/100: a handful of companies and states control the most capable models. The cumulative risk of catastrophe stands at 17%.

Automation reaches 73% of tasks and employment settles at 34%. For many people, the question is no longer what to work at but what to live on, and what for. Inequality stands at 74/100.

There are 7.7 billion robots. Machines do most physical work, and their cost has fallen so far that almost anything manufactured is cheap.

The pace of science is ×7.5 that of 2026. Research is led by AI systems that propose and test hypotheses day and night; humans review an ever smaller share.

Clean energy reaches 76%, pushed more by its own price than by agreements. Warming is already 2.5 °C, with summers that change where people can live and farm.

Power concentration reaches 94/100: the decisions that matter are made in a few rooms. The cumulative risk of catastrophe stands at 28%.

A century later, 76% of tasks are automatable and 33% of the working-age population has a job. Material abundance coexists with a wide gap between those who own the machines and those who do not: inequality stands at 75/100.

There are 8.1 billion robots. AI capability approaches its physical ceiling; what changes is no longer how much machines can do but who directs them.

Science moves ×8.2 compared with 2026, but much of what is discovered is no longer fully understood by any human being.

Clean energy reaches 95% and warming levels off near 2.8 °C. An earlier transition would have avoided much of the damage.

Power concentration stands at 98/100. The cumulative risk of catastrophe, 40%, is the highest of the four futures.